Monday, April 6, 2009
PAKISTAN : 6 MONTHS TO LIVE ?
David Kilcullen, an Australian army reservist and top adviser to Gen. David H. Petraeus during the troop surge in Iraq, has spent years studying insurgencies in countries from Indonesia to Afghanistan, distinguishing hard-core terrorists from "accidental guerrillas" -- and his theories are revolutionizing military thinking throughout the West.
CLICK ON IT TO ENLARGE
Kilcullen's 2003 paper Complex Warfighting formed the basis for the Australian Army's future land operational concept, officially approved in 2005. Dr Kilcullen's most widely-read paper, "Twenty-Eight Articles" is a concise practical guide for junior officers and non-commissioned officers engaged in counter-insurgency operations in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Article 25 of 28 states: Fight the enemy's strategy, not his forces. At this stage, if things are proceeding well, the insurgents will go over to the offensive. Yes, the offensive-- because you have created a situation so dangerous to the insurgents, by threatening to displace them from the environment, that they have to attack you and the population to get back into the game.
Can you think of a situation in our neighbourhood, where this is actually being played out :).
Read about it in Small Wars Journal :
In an interview to Washington Post © Washington Post : Kilcullen answers a few questions:
What is the real central front in the war on terror?
David: Pakistan. Hands down. No doubt.
David: Pakistan is 173 million people, 100 nuclear weapons, an army bigger than the U.S. Army, and al-Qaeda headquarters sitting right there in the two-thirds of the country that the government doesn't control. The Pakistani military and police and intelligence service don't follow the civilian government; they are essentially a rogue state within a state. We're now reaching the point where within ONE TO SIX MONTHS we could see the collapse of the Pakistani state, also because of the global financial crisis, which just exacerbates all these problems. . . . The collapse of Pakistan, al-Qaeda acquiring nuclear weapons, an extremist takeover -- that would dwarf everything we've seen in the war on terror today.
How important is it to kill or capture Osama bin laden?
David: Not very. It depends on who does it. Let me give you two possible scenarios. Scenario one is, American commandos shoot their way into some valley in Pakistan and kill bin Laden. That doesn't end the war on terror; it makes bin Laden a martyr. But here's scenario two: Imagine that a tribal raiding party captures bin Laden, puts him on television and says, "You are a traitor to Islam and you have killed more Muslims than you have killed infidels, and we're now going to deal with you." They could either then try and execute the guy in accordance with their own laws or hand him over to the International Criminal Court. If that happened, that would be the end of the al-Qaeda myth.
READ BETWEEN THE LINES:
Point he makes:
1. Pakistan military, police and intelligence service do not follow the civilian government.
2. Within 6 months there will be a collapse of the Pakistani state.
3. Al-Qaeda acquires nuclear weapons and extremists take over Pakistan.
What Kilcullen does not say is this: Pakistan’s ISI takes control of Pakistan effectively, enforcing an Islamic revolution in Pakistan. After all, ISI is in charge of these so called “extremists” who are about to take over Pakistan.
THE CURRENT US VIEW ON ISI:
Bruce Reidel stated: “If there was a state sponsor of al-Qaeda, it was the Pakistani army, acting through its Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI)".
In April 2009, US Defense Secretary ROBERT GATES said, "‘The ISI's contacts with some of these extremist groups —with Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, the Haqqani network, Commander Nazir (sp) and others —are a real concern to us."
PAKISTAN HAS BEEN TOLD OF OBAMA'S WISH REGARDS ISI: John Kerry made it clear that the Obama Administration will ask the Pakistan government to bring the ISI firmly under civilian control.
And we expect the ISI to roll over and do so! FAT CHANCE!
To know the minds of these ISI religious fanatics – misguided minions of Gen Zia ul Haq’s Islamofascist agenda, one needs to see this interview of Sufi Mohamad where he declared that democracy is not permissible under Sharia law. SIMPLE ! All these politicians and freedom of speech advocates in Pakistan will be going in a deep freezer and soon !
In an interview, to Daily Times (Pakistan), Sufi Md replied:
What are Fazlullah’s plans after the peace deal?
Sufi: He will support imposition of sharia law.
You have termed democracy ‘infidelity’. But Maulana Sami-ul Haq, Maulana Fazlur Rehman and Qazi Hussain Ahmad are taking part in the democratic process.
Sufi: Democracy is not permissible in sharia law. I will not name [these leaders] but they are taking part in infidelity. I will not offer prayers if one of [these leaders] is leading those prayers.
Do you intend to export sharia law to other parts of Pakistan?
Sufi: If people help me, I will. Otherwise, no.
Now the points I made in many articles prior to this (hence a repeat to many, but I will have to state it to tie in the facts):
1. Pakistan’s military and intelligence agencies built Taliban, the terror organizations of Lashkar e Taiba (LeT), HuM etc. Their connection is deep and strong.
2. Pakistan’s military realized that Islam is the binding force that keeps Pakistan together. PAKISTAN’S Army is scared of entho-lingusitic forces within Pakistan raising their heads for greater freedom – be it Balochis, Sindhis, Northern Areas, or even Pashto speakers demanding Balochistan / Pashtunistan etc. The Army / ISI believe that Islam is the binding force that will keep Pakistan as a single entity and Talibanisation of Pakistan is a small price to pay for that. After all, majority within the Pakistan Army are already Talibanised. Earlier it was the bogey of Kashmir that kept the Pakistanis united - today Pakistan needs something stronger.
3. Hamid Gul, the godfather of Taliban and ex ISI Head said: “We should be ready to lead the world and for this, we need ideological educational institutions," he said, maintaining that there were lot of schools pushing students against the ideology of Islam and Pakistan.
Gul said Pakistan was not formed for economic gains or other petty reasons rather it was formed to lead the world after providing a practical and workable Islamic model to govern people. He said his aim of life was to promote this idea and he was not retired or tired and the enemies of Pakistan knew it well. "Pakistan and Islam are tied to each other.”
Let’s go back again to what Kilcullen(guru of counter-terrorism) is saying. He is foreseeing an extremist takeover of Pakistan within 6 months. Which means to me, if this is true, the Islamic revolution I was taking about takes place within this time frame.
Hamid Gul brings for the Hadith on Ghazwatul Hind fast forward. I had talked about the Hadith (weak strain) which talks about these soldiers of Allah carrying black flags from Khorasan (modern day Afghanistan and parts of Iran etc) that will go on to attack India and Palestine.
In my recent article which deals with this I titled the article: ISI PLANS ATTACKS ON USA WHILE HAMID GUL EYES THE PRIZED NUCLEAR BOMBS"
And here comes the VALIDITY, almost on cue – an article on DAILY TIMES, Pakistan:
Pakistan’s NWFP Police chief stated: “Qaeda, Taliban planning 9/11-like attacks in US, Europe.”
Pakistan’s NWFP (North West Frontier Province) police chief Malik Navid told the Pakistan National Assembly's standing committee that the extremist organisations were spreading rapidly through the country and were no longer confined to the mountains of NWFP or Waziristan. He said the terrorists' aims included destabilisation of current regimes in the Middle East - a long-term objective of al-Qaida chief Osama bin Laden.
Navid said Taliban were moving towards major cities like Lahore and Karachi. "Their people are present in every city and town. In some places they are active, in others they are dormant. Taliban's philosophy is to create pockets everywhere," he said, adding that jihadi groups were moving through southern Punjab and eventually aimed to reach the financial hub of Karachi. Navid said: “Al-Qaida-Taliban combo hoped to use parts of the Middle East as launch pads for attacks against the West and pointed out that the groups had developed some expertise in making bio-chemical weapons.”
BuA: Make no mistake. This will be Pakistan Army / ISI / Islamo-fascist elements taking over Pakistan and its nuclear assets under the guise of a controlled revolution. The Taliban have been infiltrated in the cities so that civil society will not be able to raise a voice or lead protests. Police / para-military will be helpless bystanders and in all probability already part of the deal.
The way Lahore police behaved after the attacks on Sri Lanka cricketers certainly shouts of complicity. The video of attackers going back in bikes and a police car coming from the other side making no attempts to stop the terrorists also shouts of complicity.
What Taliban? – we have a Lok Sabha elections round the corner, money to be made, vote bank politics to be enacted. No time for terrorists !! We are Indian politicians – do not disturb us with stupid national interest and all that. What is our interest?
Laloo gives Sahabuddin’s wife, Heena Sahab (a wife in burqa, as she is devout – are there any other kinds) a Lok Sabha ticket. This same Sahabuddin whose named his eldest son OSAMA and his wife a student of a school named after DAWOOD.